At the Brink: The Critical Role of Somaliland’s National Electoral Commission in Upholding the November 13 Elections

By Abdi Jama

As November 13, 2024, approaches, the eyes of both Somaliland and the international community are fixed on the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (SLNEC). Amid preparations for the presidential and national political party elections, concerns are mounting over the integrity and independence of the majority of this body. Allegations of partiality towards President Muse Bihi and the ruling Kulmiye party, due to perceived undue influences in the commission’s nominations, have sparked significant apprehension about the fairness of the upcoming electoral process.

Recent developments have further intensified the complexities surrounding the electoral landscape in Somaliland. Musa Hassan Yousuf, the chairman of the SLNEC, has publicly criticized the Kulmiye leadership, including key ministries and party officials, accusing them of undermining the commission’s autonomy. This bold accusation highlights the potential conflicts within the structures intended to protect electoral integrity. However, some observers interpret this as a tactic by the commission to distract from its alleged covert cooperation with the ruling regime and to mislead the public about its independence

On the other hand, many concur that Kulmiye continues to exert undue influence over the commission, aiming to sway the electoral outcomes in its favor. Adding to the controversy is Kulmiye’s unilateral push to implement the IRIS voting system without the agreement of other stakeholders, which has sparked significant opposition from the Wadani party. There are widespread concerns that this technology, unfamiliar to the Somaliland electorate, might be exploited to manipulate election results, further complicating the trust in the electoral process.

The timing of these controversies is exceptionally critical as Somaliland approaches its scheduled elections. Any missteps by the National Electoral Commission during this sensitive period could trigger disputes or a political deadlock, potentially delaying the elections. Such a delay could catalyze insecurity throughout the country and exacerbate social divisions, tipping the scales in an already precarious situation. This would play into the hands of President Muse Bihi, who stands to benefit from such a postponement, regardless of the cost, as he faces eroding support in traditional strongholds. Therefore, the commission must exercise utmost vigilance in its decisions and actions in the lead-up to the elections. It is imperative that they not only ensure procedural correctness but also maintain transparent and clear communication with all stakeholders to prevent any misunderstandings or accusations of bias.

The integrity of the SLNEC is crucial not just for the administration of elections but for the overall political stability of Somaliland. The commission must stand firm as an independent entity loyal to democratic principles and the Somaliland constitution, rather than to any party or individual. The people of Somaliland deserve to participate in elections that are free, fair, and reflective of the true will of the electorate.

As November 13 nears, the Somaliland National Electoral Commission’s conduct will be a determinant of not only the fairness of the electoral process but also the future trajectory of the nation’s democracy. It is their responsibility to navigate these turbulent times with integrity, ensuring that the elections do not fall victim to political gamesmanship but stand as a testament to the democratic resilience of Somaliland.

Abdi Jama, with a BSc in Business Administration and an MSc in Leadership and Management, is an expert in development, humanitarian efforts, and political systems in East Africa. His knowledge addresses the region’s key challenges. Contact him at abdi.jama@gmail.com